Updated October 18, 2026 · polls through October 14, 2026 · House model v0.25
West Virginia House Forecast
‹ See all House racesWest Virginia elects 2 members of the U.S. House. The COYNTOSS model rates 0 districts as favoring Democrats, 2 as favoring Republicans.
Delegation outlook
Republicans lead in 2 of 2 districts
Forecast summary
- Seats
- 2
- Toss-ups
- 0
- Not rated Solid
- 0
- Districts with polls
- 0 of 2
- Closest district
- WV-02 R+33.1
District map
West Virginia congressional districts
Shaded by forecast rating. Select a district to see its forecast.
Loading district boundaries…
- Solid D
- Likely D
- Lean D
- Toss-up
- Lean R
- Likely R
- Solid R
Boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau, 2026 congressional districts, clipped to the shoreline. Methodology.
All races
Every district in the state, closest model margin first. Bars show each side's published chance of winning.
WV-02 · R incumbent
West Virginia's 2nd District
Parsi <0.1% · Moore >99.9% chance of winning
- Model margin
- R+33.1
- Rating
- Solid R
- Polling average
- No district polls
- Fundamentals
- R+33.1
- Matchup
- Ace Parsi vs. Riley Moore
How the forecast is built
Polling blend (published): 0.0%
Fundamentals inputs
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+39.6
- Relative district lean
- R+39.1
- Generic ballot
- D+8.3
- National environment
- D+8.3
- Incumbency
- R+2.4
- Candidate
- None
- Fundraising
- None
- Simple fundamentals
- R+30.8
- Full fundamentals
- R+33.1
- Fundamentals blend weight
- 50.0%
- Total uncertainty
- ±10.5 pts
Margins are Democratic minus Republican points, rounded to one decimal. Values are shown as published; the page does not recompute the forecast.