The 2026 generic ballot

Final COYNTOSS average, Election Day (Nov. 3, 2026).

D+7.9final
margin
49.6% Democrats41.7% Republicans

24 polls in the final average · Every poll below ↓

  • Democrats
  • Republicans
35%40%45%50%55%AprilJulyOct.Jan. 2026AprilJulyOct.49.6%41.7%
FinalD+7.9Nov. 3, 2026
1 month beforeD+7.8Oct. 4, 2026
3 months beforeD+5.6Aug. 4, 2026
6 months beforeD+5.4May 5, 2026
1 year beforeD+2.6Nov. 3, 2025
18 months beforeD+2.6May 4, 2025

2026 generic ballot polls

A 2028 average starts once pollsters ask about the next House election. Download the data (JSON).

Latest 2026 generic ballot polls
PollDateSampleMoEDem.Rep.Margin
COYNTOSS averageFinal, Nov. 3Final, Nov. 349.6%41.7%D+7.9
Ipsos for ReutersOct. 29–Nov. 2 · 1,212 LVOct. 29–Nov. 21,212 LV±2.852%44%D+8.0
Pew Research CenterSept. 30–Oct. 4 · 3,917 RVSept. 30–Oct. 43,917 RV±1.644%36%D+8.0
YouGov - CBS NewsSept. 30–Oct. 2 · 1,572 LVSept. 30–Oct. 21,572 LV±2.554%45%D+9.0
YouGov for The EconomistSept. 25–28 · 1,429 RVSept. 25–281,429 RV±2.645%37%D+8.0
HarrisX/Harris for Harvard University Center for American Political StudiesSept. 26–28 · LVSept. 26–28LV—51%49%D+2.0
Quinnipiac UniversitySept. 24–27 · 1,032 RVSept. 24–271,032 RV±3.151%39%D+12.0
The Argument/VerasightSept. 16–22 · LVSept. 16–22LV—55%45%D+10.0
Emerson CollegeSept. 21–22 · 1,000 LVSept. 21–221,000 LV±3.153%42%D+11.0
YouGov for The EconomistSept. 18–21 · 1,401 RVSept. 18–211,401 RV±2.645%36%D+9.0
YouGov for The EconomistSept. 11–14 · 1,461 RVSept. 11–141,461 RV±2.644%39%D+5.0
Ipsos for ReutersSept. 11–14 · 896 RVSept. 11–14896 RV±3.344%37%D+7.0
YouGov for CBS NewsSept. 8–11 · LVSept. 8–11LV—54%46%D+8.0
YouGov for The EconomistSept. 4–8 · 1,015 LVSept. 4–81,015 LV±3.149%38%D+11.0
Quinnipiac UniversitySept. 3–6 · 970 RVSept. 3–6970 RV±3.149%38%D+11.0
Morning ConsultSept. 4–6 · 2,203 RVSept. 4–62,203 RV±2.146%42%D+4.0
YouGov for The EconomistAug. 28–31 · 1,437 RVAug. 28–311,437 RV±2.646%40%D+6.0
Ipsos for ReutersAug. 28–31 · 924 RVAug. 28–31924 RV±3.243%38%D+5.0
YouGov for The EconomistAug. 21–24 · 1,377 RVAug. 21–241,377 RV±2.646%40%D+6.0
Ipsos for ReutersAug. 21–24 · 951 RVAug. 21–24951 RV±3.241%35%D+6.0
YouGov for The EconomistAug. 14–17 · 1,450 RVAug. 14–171,450 RV±2.646%39%D+7.0
Emerson CollegeAug. 16–17 · 1,000 LVAug. 16–171,000 LV±3.151%43%D+8.0
Echelon InsightsAug. 13–17 · 1,002 LVAug. 13–171,002 LV±3.150%45%D+5.0
Noble Predictive Insights for The Center SquareAug. 12–16 · 2,533 RVAug. 12–162,533 RV±1.947%42%D+5.0
YouGov for The EconomistAug. 7–10 · 1,420 RVAug. 7–101,420 RV±2.646%40%D+6.0
YouGov for The EconomistJuly 31–Aug. 3 · 1,473 RVJuly 31–Aug. 31,473 RV±2.646%42%D+4.0

Showing the latest 25 of 465 polls.

Show the latest 150 polls
2026 generic ballot polls
PollDateSampleMoEDem.Rep.Margin
COYNTOSS averageFinal, Nov. 3Final, Nov. 349.6%41.7%D+7.9
Ipsos for ReutersOct. 29–Nov. 2 · 1,212 LVOct. 29–Nov. 21,212 LV±2.852%44%D+8.0
Pew Research CenterSept. 30–Oct. 4 · 3,917 RVSept. 30–Oct. 43,917 RV±1.644%36%D+8.0
YouGov - CBS NewsSept. 30–Oct. 2 · 1,572 LVSept. 30–Oct. 21,572 LV±2.554%45%D+9.0
YouGov for The EconomistSept. 25–28 · 1,429 RVSept. 25–281,429 RV±2.645%37%D+8.0
HarrisX/Harris for Harvard University Center for American Political StudiesSept. 26–28 · LVSept. 26–28LV—51%49%D+2.0
Quinnipiac UniversitySept. 24–27 · 1,032 RVSept. 24–271,032 RV±3.151%39%D+12.0
The Argument/VerasightSept. 16–22 · LVSept. 16–22LV—55%45%D+10.0
Emerson CollegeSept. 21–22 · 1,000 LVSept. 21–221,000 LV±3.153%42%D+11.0
YouGov for The EconomistSept. 18–21 · 1,401 RVSept. 18–211,401 RV±2.645%36%D+9.0
YouGov for The EconomistSept. 11–14 · 1,461 RVSept. 11–141,461 RV±2.644%39%D+5.0
Ipsos for ReutersSept. 11–14 · 896 RVSept. 11–14896 RV±3.344%37%D+7.0
YouGov for CBS NewsSept. 8–11 · LVSept. 8–11LV—54%46%D+8.0
YouGov for The EconomistSept. 4–8 · 1,015 LVSept. 4–81,015 LV±3.149%38%D+11.0
Quinnipiac UniversitySept. 3–6 · 970 RVSept. 3–6970 RV±3.149%38%D+11.0
Morning ConsultSept. 4–6 · 2,203 RVSept. 4–62,203 RV±2.146%42%D+4.0
YouGov for The EconomistAug. 28–31 · 1,437 RVAug. 28–311,437 RV±2.646%40%D+6.0
Ipsos for ReutersAug. 28–31 · 924 RVAug. 28–31924 RV±3.243%38%D+5.0
YouGov for The EconomistAug. 21–24 · 1,377 RVAug. 21–241,377 RV±2.646%40%D+6.0
Ipsos for ReutersAug. 21–24 · 951 RVAug. 21–24951 RV±3.241%35%D+6.0
YouGov for The EconomistAug. 14–17 · 1,450 RVAug. 14–171,450 RV±2.646%39%D+7.0
Emerson CollegeAug. 16–17 · 1,000 LVAug. 16–171,000 LV±3.151%43%D+8.0
Echelon InsightsAug. 13–17 · 1,002 LVAug. 13–171,002 LV±3.150%45%D+5.0
Noble Predictive Insights for The Center SquareAug. 12–16 · 2,533 RVAug. 12–162,533 RV±1.947%42%D+5.0
YouGov for The EconomistAug. 7–10 · 1,420 RVAug. 7–101,420 RV±2.646%40%D+6.0
YouGov for The EconomistJuly 31–Aug. 3 · 1,473 RVJuly 31–Aug. 31,473 RV±2.646%42%D+4.0
Ipsos for ReutersJuly 29–Aug. 3 · 3,542 RVJuly 29–Aug. 33,542 RV±1.642%37%D+5.0
YouGov for The EconomistJuly 25–27 · 1,407 RVJuly 25–271,407 RV±2.646%42%D+4.0
Quinnipiac UniversityJuly 23–27 · 963 RVJuly 23–27963 RV±3.248%41%D+7.0
Ipsos for ReutersJuly 24–26 · 1,003 RVJuly 24–261,003 RV±3.140%38%D+2.0
YouGov for The EconomistJuly 17–20 · 1,432 RVJuly 17–201,432 RV±2.646%41%D+5.0
Emerson CollegeJuly 19–20 · 1,100 LVJuly 19–201,100 LV±3.053%42%D+11.0
YouGov for The EconomistJuly 10–13 · 1,450 RVJuly 10–131,450 RV±2.646%42%D+4.0
Echelon InsightsJuly 9–13 · 1,004 LVJuly 9–131,004 LV±3.150%44%D+6.0
Morning ConsultJuly 6–12 · 24,000 RVJuly 6–1224,000 RV±0.646%43%D+3.0
YouGov for The EconomistJuly 3–6 · 1,443 RVJuly 3–61,443 RV±2.646%43%D+3.0
Focaldata for Financial TimesJune 26–30 · 1,795 RVJune 26–301,795 RV±2.350%43%D+7.0
YouGov for The EconomistJune 26–29 · 1,426 RVJune 26–291,426 RV±2.645%42%D+3.0
Big Data Poll for Public Polling ProjectJune 26–28 · 2,604 LVJune 26–282,604 LV±1.950.2%41%D+9.2
YouGov for The EconomistJune 19–22 · 1,517 RVJune 19–221,517 RV±2.545%43%D+2.0
Verasight for Strength in NumbersJune 17–22 · 1,896 RVJune 17–221,896 RV±2.350%43%D+7.0
Morning ConsultJune 19–22 · RVJune 19–22RV—46%42%D+4.0
IpsosJune 18–22 · 978 RVJune 18–22978 RV±3.141%36%D+5.0
Echelon InsightsJune 18–22 · 1,003 LVJune 18–221,003 LV±3.151%45%D+6.0
Quantus InsightsJune 16–17 · 1,000 LVJune 16–171,000 LV±3.147%43%D+4.0
The Bullfinch Group for The Independent CenterJune 12–16 · 1,000 RVJune 12–161,000 RV±3.144%36%D+8.0
YouGov for The EconomistJune 13–15 · 1,402 RVJune 13–151,402 RV±2.646%44%D+2.0
Marquette University Law SchoolJune 9–15 · 827 LVJune 9–15827 LV±3.453%45%D+8.0
Ipsos for ReutersJune 12–15 · 1,195 RVJune 12–151,195 RV±2.841%38%D+3.0
Morning ConsultJune 8–14 · 24,000 RVJune 8–1424,000 RV±0.645.8%41.9%D+3.9
Echelon InsightsJune 11–14 · 1,012 LVJune 11–141,012 LV±3.150%44%D+6.0
The Public Sentiment InstituteJune 12–13 · 1,023 LVJune 12–131,023 LV±3.150%41%D+9.0
YouGov for The EconomistJune 5–8 · 1,437 RVJune 5–81,437 RV±2.645%41%D+4.0
Ipsos for ReutersJune 3–8 · 3,578 RVJune 3–83,578 RV±1.641%37%D+4.0
Emerson CollegeJune 7–8 · 1,200 LVJune 7–81,200 LV±2.850.3%39.5%D+10.8
Morning ConsultJune 1–7 · 24,849 RVJune 1–724,849 RV±0.646%42%D+4.0
Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies for NBC News and More PerfectMay 29–June 7 · 2,400 RVMay 29–June 72,400 RV±2.049%44%D+5.0
HarrisX for ForbesMay 20–June 7 · 1,137 LVMay 20–June 71,137 LV±2.946%45%D+1.0
Research Co.June 4–6 · 1,001 AJune 4–61,001 A±3.138%33%D+5.0
Clarity Campaign LabsMay 28–June 5 · 1,045 LVMay 28–June 51,045 LV±3.048%45%D+3.0
RMG Research for Napolitan InstituteJune 1–4 · 2,000 RVJune 1–42,000 RV±2.249%45%D+4.0
Noble Predictive Insights for The Center SquareJune 1–4 · 2,585 RVJune 1–42,585 RV±1.947%41%D+6.0
The Argument/VerasightMay 29–June 3 · 3,008 RVMay 29–June 33,008 RV±1.853%47%D+6.0
CygnalJune 2–3 · 1,500 LVJune 2–31,500 LV±2.549%44%D+5.0
The Winston Group R for Winning the IssuesMay 30–June 2 · 1,000 RVMay 30–June 21,000 RV±3.148%41%D+7.0
The Bullfinch GroupMay 29–June 2 · 1,000 RVMay 29–June 21,000 RV±3.142%36%D+6.0
Quantus InsightsJune 1–2 · 1,050 LVJune 1–21,050 LV±3.047%42%D+5.0
YouGov for The EconomistMay 29–June 1 · 1,452 RVMay 29–June 11,452 RV±2.646%42%D+4.0
Focaldata for Financial TimesMay 29–June 1 · 1,537 RVMay 29–June 11,537 RV±2.548%43%D+5.0
Morning ConsultMay 25–31 · RVMay 25–31RV—45%42%D+3.0
HarrisX/Harris for Harvard CAPSMay 29–31 · 1,725 RVMay 29–311,725 RV±2.451%49%D+2.0
TIPP Insights for Issues & InsightsMay 26–28 · 1,332 RVMay 26–281,332 RV±2.746%41%D+5.0
Big Data Poll for Public Polling ProjectMay 24–27 · 2,874 LVMay 24–272,874 LV±1.850.3%39.4%D+10.9
YouGov for The EconomistMay 22–26 · 1,393 RVMay 22–261,393 RV±2.646%41%D+5.0
Pennsylvania State University McCourtney Institute for Democracy/YouGovMay 19–26 · 862 RVMay 19–26862 RV±3.341%37%D+4.0
Marquette University Law SchoolMay 20–26 · 576 LVMay 20–26576 LV±4.149%48%D+1.0
Emerson CollegeMay 24–25 · 1,000 LVMay 24–251,000 LV±3.149.8%41.3%D+8.5
Morning ConsultMay 18–24 · 24,849 RVMay 18–2424,849 RV±0.646%42%D+4.0
John Zogby StrategiesMay 21–22 · LVMay 21–22LV—49%42%D+7.0
Verasight/Morris Predictive Insights for Unite HereMay 18–20 · 2,000 AMay 18–202,000 A±2.252%41%D+11.0
Rasmussen ReportsMay 13–20 · 2,161 LVMay 13–202,161 LV±2.147%41%D+6.0
Verasight for Strength In NumbersMay 18–19 · 1,413 RVMay 18–191,413 RV±2.651%43%D+8.0
YouGov for The EconomistMay 15–18 · 1,375 RVMay 15–181,375 RV±2.646%43%D+3.0
The Rainey CenterMay 17–18 · 1,010 RVMay 17–181,010 RV±3.145%43%D+2.0
Quinnipiac UniversityMay 14–18 · 1,106 RVMay 14–181,106 RV±2.950%39%D+11.0
McLaughlin & Associates R for America's New Majority ProjectMay 14–18 · 2,000 RVMay 14–182,000 RV±2.239%36%D+3.0
McLaughlin & AssociatesMay 12–18 · 1,000 LVMay 12–181,000 LV±3.146%42%D+4.0
Ipsos for ReutersMay 15–18 · 984 RVMay 15–18984 RV±3.139%38%D+1.0
Impact Research/National Research for The Wall Street JournalMay 7–18 · 1,500 RVMay 7–181,500 RV±2.548%40%D+8.0
Echelon InsightsMay 14–18 · 1,008 LVMay 14–181,008 LV±3.151%43%D+8.0
Data for ProgressMay 15–18 · 1,149 LVMay 15–181,149 LV±2.951%43%D+8.0
Bedrock Polling for Rainey CenterMay 17–18 · 1,010 RVMay 17–181,010 RV±3.145%43%D+2.0
Morning ConsultMay 11–17 · 28,525 RVMay 11–1728,525 RV±0.646%42%D+4.0
Morning ConsultMay 15–17 · 2,203 RVMay 15–172,203 RV±2.147%41%D+6.0
YouGov for CBS NewsMay 13–15 · 1,397 RVMay 13–151,397 RV±2.645%40%D+5.0
The New York Times/Siena UniversityMay 11–15 · 1,507 RVMay 11–151,507 RV±2.549.5%39.1%D+10.4
YouGov for The EconomistMay 9–11 · 1,408 RVMay 9–111,408 RV±2.645%40%D+5.0
Ipsos for ReutersMay 8–11 · 993 RVMay 8–11993 RV±3.141%35%D+6.0
Morning ConsultMay 4–10 · 24,000 RVMay 4–1024,000 RV±0.645%42%D+3.0
Change ResearchMay 5–10 · 2,244 RVMay 5–102,244 RV±2.145%42%D+3.0
Cygnal R for Conservative Energy NetworkMay 4–7 · 1,500 LVMay 4–71,500 LV±2.548%41%D+7.0
AtlasIntelMay 4–7 · 2,069 AMay 4–72,069 A±2.254.6%40.1%D+14.5
RMG Research for Napolitan InstituteMay 4–6 · 2,000 RVMay 4–62,000 RV±2.250%41%D+9.0
CygnalMay 5–6 · 1,500 LVMay 5–61,500 LV±2.548.5%42.4%D+6.1
HarrisXApril 29–May 5 · 1,891 LVApril 29–May 51,891 LV±2.348%46%D+2.0
Focaldata for Financial TimesMay 1–5 · 3,017 RVMay 1–53,017 RV±1.851.9%44.5%D+7.4
YouGov for The EconomistMay 1–4 · 1,406 RVMay 1–41,406 RV±2.644%41%D+3.0
CNN/SSRSApril 30–May 4 · RVApril 30–May 4RV—45%42%D+3.0
Morning ConsultApril 27–May 3 · 24,000 RVApril 27–May 324,000 RV±0.646%43%D+3.0
Morning ConsultApril 30–May 3 · 2,200 RVApril 30–May 32,200 RV±2.146%43%D+3.0
Marist UniversityApril 27–30 · 1,155 RVApril 27–301,155 RV±2.952%42%D+10.0
Ipsos for The Washington Post and ABC NewsApril 24–28 · 2,059 RVApril 24–282,059 RV±2.249%44%D+5.0
Big Data PollApril 25–28 · 2,874 LVApril 25–282,874 LV±1.850.4%39.4%D+11.0
YouGov for The EconomistApril 24–27 · 1,645 RVApril 24–271,645 RV±2.446%41%D+5.0
Public Opinion Strategies for CoinDeskApril 21–27 · 1,000 RVApril 21–271,000 RV±3.144%41%D+3.0
Morning ConsultApril 24–27 · 2,201 RVApril 24–272,201 RV±2.145%42%D+3.0
Ipsos for ReutersApril 24–27 · 1,014 RVApril 24–271,014 RV±3.141%37%D+4.0
Morning ConsultApril 20–26 · 28,235 RVApril 20–2628,235 RV±0.645%42%D+3.0
HarrisX/Harris for Harvard CAPSApril 23–26 · LVApril 23–26LV—50%50%Even
Emerson CollegeApril 24–26 · 1,000 LVApril 24–261,000 LV±3.150.3%40.2%D+10.1
Clarity Campaign LabsApril 15–24 · 1,000 LVApril 15–241,000 LV±3.150%45%D+5.0
The Argument/VerasightApril 20–23 · 1,000 LVApril 20–231,000 LV±3.153%47%D+6.0
Quantus InsightsApril 21–23 · 1,452 LVApril 21–231,452 LV±2.647%42%D+5.0
YouGov for The EconomistApril 17–20 · 1,549 RVApril 17–201,549 RV±2.545%40%D+5.0
Morning ConsultApril 17–20 · 2,203 RVApril 17–202,203 RV±2.145%42%D+3.0
Leger for 338Canada and Maintenant MediaApril 17–20 · 1,004 AApril 17–201,004 A±3.152%42%D+10.0
Ipsos for ReutersApril 15–20 · 3,577 RVApril 15–203,577 RV±1.641%38%D+3.0
Echelon InsightsApril 17–20 · 1,012 LVApril 17–201,012 LV±3.150%44%D+6.0
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research for Fox NewsApril 17–20 · 1,001 RVApril 17–201,001 RV±3.152%47%D+5.0
Morning ConsultApril 13–19 · 27,869 RVApril 13–1927,869 RV±0.645%42%D+3.0
KFFApril 14–19 · 1,107 RVApril 14–191,107 RV±2.943%34%D+9.0
Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies for CNBCApril 15–19 · 1,000 RVApril 15–191,000 RV±3.149%45%D+4.0
John Zogby StrategiesApril 17–18 · 1,001 LVApril 17–181,001 LV±3.148%44%D+4.0
Marquette University Law SchoolApril 8–16 · 576 LVApril 8–16576 LV±4.153%43%D+10.0
McLaughlin & AssociatesApril 8–15 · 1,000 LVApril 8–151,000 LV±3.147%43%D+4.0
GBAO Strategies for Third WayApril 8–15 · 2,000 RVApril 8–152,000 RV±2.248%40%D+8.0
Verasight for Strength In NumbersApril 10–14 · 1,386 RVApril 10–141,386 RV±2.650%43%D+7.0
YouGov for The EconomistApril 10–13 · 1,571 RVApril 10–131,571 RV±2.545%40%D+5.0
Survey 160April 8–13 · 1,539 RVApril 8–131,539 RV±2.547%37%D+10.0
Morning ConsultApril 6–12 · 12,505 RVApril 6–1212,505 RV±0.946%42%D+4.0
Tavern ResearchApril 6–9 · 502 LVApril 6–9502 LV±4.444%43%D+1.0
RMG Research for Napolitan InstituteApril 6–9 · 2,000 RVApril 6–92,000 RV±2.249%44%D+5.0
Morning ConsultApril 6–9 · 2,200 RVApril 6–92,200 RV±2.146%42%D+4.0
Echelon Insights for NetChoiceApril 3–9 · 2,880 LVApril 3–92,880 LV±1.850%45%D+5.0
Change ResearchApril 3–7 · 2,702 RVApril 3–72,702 RV±1.947%42%D+5.0
YouGov for The EconomistApril 3–6 · 1,558 RVApril 3–61,558 RV±2.544%42%D+2.0
Morning ConsultApril 3–6 · 2,200 RVApril 3–62,200 RV±2.145%42%D+3.0
Morning ConsultMarch 30–April 5 · 12,505 RVMarch 30–April 512,505 RV±0.945%42%D+3.0
CygnalApril 2–3 · 1,500 LVApril 2–31,500 LV±2.549%43%D+6.0
YouGov for The EconomistMarch 27–30 · 1,502 RVMarch 27–301,502 RV±2.545%39%D+6.0
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGovMarch 26–30 · 1,000 AMarch 26–301,000 A±3.138%35%D+3.0

Showing the latest 150 of 465 polls.

How pollsters lean

Each firm’s average gap from the COYNTOSS margin on the days its polls ended, final year of the cycle, for the 14 firms with the most polls (at least 3). D+ means more Democratic than the average. Shown for context: the average does not adjust for it.

Pollster house effects on the generic ballot margin
PollsterPollsGapMargin vs. average
RMG Research7R+2.9
McLaughlin & Associates7R+2.4
Morning Consult52R+1.9
Ipsos23R+1.6
YouGov52R+0.5
Cygnal11R+0.1
Echelon Insights12D+0.1
Quantus Insights11D+0.1
Focaldata6D+0.8
Big Data Poll9D+1.8
The Argument/Verasight8D+2.0
Verasight6D+2.3
Emerson College10D+3.0
Quinnipiac University6D+3.5