The 2026 generic ballot
Final COYNTOSS average, Election Day (Nov. 3, 2026).
D+7.9final
margin
margin
49.6% Democrats41.7% Republicans
24 polls in the final average · Every poll below ↓
35%40%45%50%55%Sept. 2026Oct.Nov.49.6%41.7%
35%40%45%50%55%June 2026JulyAug.Sept.Oct.Nov.49.6%41.7%
35%40%45%50%55%Jan. 2026MarchMayJulySept.Nov.49.6%41.7%
35%40%45%50%55%AprilJulyOct.Jan. 2026AprilJulyOct.49.6%41.7%
FinalD+7.9Nov. 3, 2026
1 month beforeD+7.8Oct. 4, 2026
3 months beforeD+5.6Aug. 4, 2026
6 months beforeD+5.4May 5, 2026
1 year beforeD+2.6Nov. 3, 2025
18 months beforeD+2.6May 4, 2025
2026 generic ballot polls
A 2028 average starts once pollsters ask about the next House election. Download the data (JSON).
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem. | Rep. | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COYNTOSS average | Final, Nov. 3 | 49.6% | 41.7% | D+7.9 | ||
| Ipsos for Reuters | Oct. 29–Nov. 2 | 1,212 LV | ±2.8 | 52% | 44% | D+8.0 |
| Pew Research Center | Sept. 30–Oct. 4 | 3,917 RV | ±1.6 | 44% | 36% | D+8.0 |
| YouGov - CBS News | Sept. 30–Oct. 2 | 1,572 LV | ±2.5 | 54% | 45% | D+9.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | Sept. 25–28 | 1,429 RV | ±2.6 | 45% | 37% | D+8.0 |
| HarrisX/Harris for Harvard University Center for American Political Studies | Sept. 26–28 | LV | — | 51% | 49% | D+2.0 |
| Quinnipiac University | Sept. 24–27 | 1,032 RV | ±3.1 | 51% | 39% | D+12.0 |
| The Argument/Verasight | Sept. 16–22 | LV | — | 55% | 45% | D+10.0 |
| Emerson College | Sept. 21–22 | 1,000 LV | ±3.1 | 53% | 42% | D+11.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | Sept. 18–21 | 1,401 RV | ±2.6 | 45% | 36% | D+9.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | Sept. 11–14 | 1,461 RV | ±2.6 | 44% | 39% | D+5.0 |
| Ipsos for Reuters | Sept. 11–14 | 896 RV | ±3.3 | 44% | 37% | D+7.0 |
| YouGov for CBS News | Sept. 8–11 | LV | — | 54% | 46% | D+8.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | Sept. 4–8 | 1,015 LV | ±3.1 | 49% | 38% | D+11.0 |
| Quinnipiac University | Sept. 3–6 | 970 RV | ±3.1 | 49% | 38% | D+11.0 |
| Morning Consult | Sept. 4–6 | 2,203 RV | ±2.1 | 46% | 42% | D+4.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | Aug. 28–31 | 1,437 RV | ±2.6 | 46% | 40% | D+6.0 |
| Ipsos for Reuters | Aug. 28–31 | 924 RV | ±3.2 | 43% | 38% | D+5.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | Aug. 21–24 | 1,377 RV | ±2.6 | 46% | 40% | D+6.0 |
| Ipsos for Reuters | Aug. 21–24 | 951 RV | ±3.2 | 41% | 35% | D+6.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | Aug. 14–17 | 1,450 RV | ±2.6 | 46% | 39% | D+7.0 |
| Emerson College | Aug. 16–17 | 1,000 LV | ±3.1 | 51% | 43% | D+8.0 |
| Echelon Insights | Aug. 13–17 | 1,002 LV | ±3.1 | 50% | 45% | D+5.0 |
| Noble Predictive Insights for The Center Square | Aug. 12–16 | 2,533 RV | ±1.9 | 47% | 42% | D+5.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | Aug. 7–10 | 1,420 RV | ±2.6 | 46% | 40% | D+6.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | July 31–Aug. 3 | 1,473 RV | ±2.6 | 46% | 42% | D+4.0 |
Showing the latest 25 of 465 polls.
Show the latest 150 polls
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem. | Rep. | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COYNTOSS average | Final, Nov. 3 | 49.6% | 41.7% | D+7.9 | ||
| Ipsos for Reuters | Oct. 29–Nov. 2 | 1,212 LV | ±2.8 | 52% | 44% | D+8.0 |
| Pew Research Center | Sept. 30–Oct. 4 | 3,917 RV | ±1.6 | 44% | 36% | D+8.0 |
| YouGov - CBS News | Sept. 30–Oct. 2 | 1,572 LV | ±2.5 | 54% | 45% | D+9.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | Sept. 25–28 | 1,429 RV | ±2.6 | 45% | 37% | D+8.0 |
| HarrisX/Harris for Harvard University Center for American Political Studies | Sept. 26–28 | LV | — | 51% | 49% | D+2.0 |
| Quinnipiac University | Sept. 24–27 | 1,032 RV | ±3.1 | 51% | 39% | D+12.0 |
| The Argument/Verasight | Sept. 16–22 | LV | — | 55% | 45% | D+10.0 |
| Emerson College | Sept. 21–22 | 1,000 LV | ±3.1 | 53% | 42% | D+11.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | Sept. 18–21 | 1,401 RV | ±2.6 | 45% | 36% | D+9.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | Sept. 11–14 | 1,461 RV | ±2.6 | 44% | 39% | D+5.0 |
| Ipsos for Reuters | Sept. 11–14 | 896 RV | ±3.3 | 44% | 37% | D+7.0 |
| YouGov for CBS News | Sept. 8–11 | LV | — | 54% | 46% | D+8.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | Sept. 4–8 | 1,015 LV | ±3.1 | 49% | 38% | D+11.0 |
| Quinnipiac University | Sept. 3–6 | 970 RV | ±3.1 | 49% | 38% | D+11.0 |
| Morning Consult | Sept. 4–6 | 2,203 RV | ±2.1 | 46% | 42% | D+4.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | Aug. 28–31 | 1,437 RV | ±2.6 | 46% | 40% | D+6.0 |
| Ipsos for Reuters | Aug. 28–31 | 924 RV | ±3.2 | 43% | 38% | D+5.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | Aug. 21–24 | 1,377 RV | ±2.6 | 46% | 40% | D+6.0 |
| Ipsos for Reuters | Aug. 21–24 | 951 RV | ±3.2 | 41% | 35% | D+6.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | Aug. 14–17 | 1,450 RV | ±2.6 | 46% | 39% | D+7.0 |
| Emerson College | Aug. 16–17 | 1,000 LV | ±3.1 | 51% | 43% | D+8.0 |
| Echelon Insights | Aug. 13–17 | 1,002 LV | ±3.1 | 50% | 45% | D+5.0 |
| Noble Predictive Insights for The Center Square | Aug. 12–16 | 2,533 RV | ±1.9 | 47% | 42% | D+5.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | Aug. 7–10 | 1,420 RV | ±2.6 | 46% | 40% | D+6.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | July 31–Aug. 3 | 1,473 RV | ±2.6 | 46% | 42% | D+4.0 |
| Ipsos for Reuters | July 29–Aug. 3 | 3,542 RV | ±1.6 | 42% | 37% | D+5.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | July 25–27 | 1,407 RV | ±2.6 | 46% | 42% | D+4.0 |
| Quinnipiac University | July 23–27 | 963 RV | ±3.2 | 48% | 41% | D+7.0 |
| Ipsos for Reuters | July 24–26 | 1,003 RV | ±3.1 | 40% | 38% | D+2.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | July 17–20 | 1,432 RV | ±2.6 | 46% | 41% | D+5.0 |
| Emerson College | July 19–20 | 1,100 LV | ±3.0 | 53% | 42% | D+11.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | July 10–13 | 1,450 RV | ±2.6 | 46% | 42% | D+4.0 |
| Echelon Insights | July 9–13 | 1,004 LV | ±3.1 | 50% | 44% | D+6.0 |
| Morning Consult | July 6–12 | 24,000 RV | ±0.6 | 46% | 43% | D+3.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | July 3–6 | 1,443 RV | ±2.6 | 46% | 43% | D+3.0 |
| Focaldata for Financial Times | June 26–30 | 1,795 RV | ±2.3 | 50% | 43% | D+7.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | June 26–29 | 1,426 RV | ±2.6 | 45% | 42% | D+3.0 |
| Big Data Poll for Public Polling Project | June 26–28 | 2,604 LV | ±1.9 | 50.2% | 41% | D+9.2 |
| YouGov for The Economist | June 19–22 | 1,517 RV | ±2.5 | 45% | 43% | D+2.0 |
| Verasight for Strength in Numbers | June 17–22 | 1,896 RV | ±2.3 | 50% | 43% | D+7.0 |
| Morning Consult | June 19–22 | RV | — | 46% | 42% | D+4.0 |
| Ipsos | June 18–22 | 978 RV | ±3.1 | 41% | 36% | D+5.0 |
| Echelon Insights | June 18–22 | 1,003 LV | ±3.1 | 51% | 45% | D+6.0 |
| Quantus Insights | June 16–17 | 1,000 LV | ±3.1 | 47% | 43% | D+4.0 |
| The Bullfinch Group for The Independent Center | June 12–16 | 1,000 RV | ±3.1 | 44% | 36% | D+8.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | June 13–15 | 1,402 RV | ±2.6 | 46% | 44% | D+2.0 |
| Marquette University Law School | June 9–15 | 827 LV | ±3.4 | 53% | 45% | D+8.0 |
| Ipsos for Reuters | June 12–15 | 1,195 RV | ±2.8 | 41% | 38% | D+3.0 |
| Morning Consult | June 8–14 | 24,000 RV | ±0.6 | 45.8% | 41.9% | D+3.9 |
| Echelon Insights | June 11–14 | 1,012 LV | ±3.1 | 50% | 44% | D+6.0 |
| The Public Sentiment Institute | June 12–13 | 1,023 LV | ±3.1 | 50% | 41% | D+9.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | June 5–8 | 1,437 RV | ±2.6 | 45% | 41% | D+4.0 |
| Ipsos for Reuters | June 3–8 | 3,578 RV | ±1.6 | 41% | 37% | D+4.0 |
| Emerson College | June 7–8 | 1,200 LV | ±2.8 | 50.3% | 39.5% | D+10.8 |
| Morning Consult | June 1–7 | 24,849 RV | ±0.6 | 46% | 42% | D+4.0 |
| Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies for NBC News and More Perfect | May 29–June 7 | 2,400 RV | ±2.0 | 49% | 44% | D+5.0 |
| HarrisX for Forbes | May 20–June 7 | 1,137 LV | ±2.9 | 46% | 45% | D+1.0 |
| Research Co. | June 4–6 | 1,001 A | ±3.1 | 38% | 33% | D+5.0 |
| Clarity Campaign Labs | May 28–June 5 | 1,045 LV | ±3.0 | 48% | 45% | D+3.0 |
| RMG Research for Napolitan Institute | June 1–4 | 2,000 RV | ±2.2 | 49% | 45% | D+4.0 |
| Noble Predictive Insights for The Center Square | June 1–4 | 2,585 RV | ±1.9 | 47% | 41% | D+6.0 |
| The Argument/Verasight | May 29–June 3 | 3,008 RV | ±1.8 | 53% | 47% | D+6.0 |
| Cygnal | June 2–3 | 1,500 LV | ±2.5 | 49% | 44% | D+5.0 |
| The Winston Group R for Winning the Issues | May 30–June 2 | 1,000 RV | ±3.1 | 48% | 41% | D+7.0 |
| The Bullfinch Group | May 29–June 2 | 1,000 RV | ±3.1 | 42% | 36% | D+6.0 |
| Quantus Insights | June 1–2 | 1,050 LV | ±3.0 | 47% | 42% | D+5.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | May 29–June 1 | 1,452 RV | ±2.6 | 46% | 42% | D+4.0 |
| Focaldata for Financial Times | May 29–June 1 | 1,537 RV | ±2.5 | 48% | 43% | D+5.0 |
| Morning Consult | May 25–31 | RV | — | 45% | 42% | D+3.0 |
| HarrisX/Harris for Harvard CAPS | May 29–31 | 1,725 RV | ±2.4 | 51% | 49% | D+2.0 |
| TIPP Insights for Issues & Insights | May 26–28 | 1,332 RV | ±2.7 | 46% | 41% | D+5.0 |
| Big Data Poll for Public Polling Project | May 24–27 | 2,874 LV | ±1.8 | 50.3% | 39.4% | D+10.9 |
| YouGov for The Economist | May 22–26 | 1,393 RV | ±2.6 | 46% | 41% | D+5.0 |
| Pennsylvania State University McCourtney Institute for Democracy/YouGov | May 19–26 | 862 RV | ±3.3 | 41% | 37% | D+4.0 |
| Marquette University Law School | May 20–26 | 576 LV | ±4.1 | 49% | 48% | D+1.0 |
| Emerson College | May 24–25 | 1,000 LV | ±3.1 | 49.8% | 41.3% | D+8.5 |
| Morning Consult | May 18–24 | 24,849 RV | ±0.6 | 46% | 42% | D+4.0 |
| John Zogby Strategies | May 21–22 | LV | — | 49% | 42% | D+7.0 |
| Verasight/Morris Predictive Insights for Unite Here | May 18–20 | 2,000 A | ±2.2 | 52% | 41% | D+11.0 |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 13–20 | 2,161 LV | ±2.1 | 47% | 41% | D+6.0 |
| Verasight for Strength In Numbers | May 18–19 | 1,413 RV | ±2.6 | 51% | 43% | D+8.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | May 15–18 | 1,375 RV | ±2.6 | 46% | 43% | D+3.0 |
| The Rainey Center | May 17–18 | 1,010 RV | ±3.1 | 45% | 43% | D+2.0 |
| Quinnipiac University | May 14–18 | 1,106 RV | ±2.9 | 50% | 39% | D+11.0 |
| McLaughlin & Associates R for America's New Majority Project | May 14–18 | 2,000 RV | ±2.2 | 39% | 36% | D+3.0 |
| McLaughlin & Associates | May 12–18 | 1,000 LV | ±3.1 | 46% | 42% | D+4.0 |
| Ipsos for Reuters | May 15–18 | 984 RV | ±3.1 | 39% | 38% | D+1.0 |
| Impact Research/National Research for The Wall Street Journal | May 7–18 | 1,500 RV | ±2.5 | 48% | 40% | D+8.0 |
| Echelon Insights | May 14–18 | 1,008 LV | ±3.1 | 51% | 43% | D+8.0 |
| Data for Progress | May 15–18 | 1,149 LV | ±2.9 | 51% | 43% | D+8.0 |
| Bedrock Polling for Rainey Center | May 17–18 | 1,010 RV | ±3.1 | 45% | 43% | D+2.0 |
| Morning Consult | May 11–17 | 28,525 RV | ±0.6 | 46% | 42% | D+4.0 |
| Morning Consult | May 15–17 | 2,203 RV | ±2.1 | 47% | 41% | D+6.0 |
| YouGov for CBS News | May 13–15 | 1,397 RV | ±2.6 | 45% | 40% | D+5.0 |
| The New York Times/Siena University | May 11–15 | 1,507 RV | ±2.5 | 49.5% | 39.1% | D+10.4 |
| YouGov for The Economist | May 9–11 | 1,408 RV | ±2.6 | 45% | 40% | D+5.0 |
| Ipsos for Reuters | May 8–11 | 993 RV | ±3.1 | 41% | 35% | D+6.0 |
| Morning Consult | May 4–10 | 24,000 RV | ±0.6 | 45% | 42% | D+3.0 |
| Change Research | May 5–10 | 2,244 RV | ±2.1 | 45% | 42% | D+3.0 |
| Cygnal R for Conservative Energy Network | May 4–7 | 1,500 LV | ±2.5 | 48% | 41% | D+7.0 |
| AtlasIntel | May 4–7 | 2,069 A | ±2.2 | 54.6% | 40.1% | D+14.5 |
| RMG Research for Napolitan Institute | May 4–6 | 2,000 RV | ±2.2 | 50% | 41% | D+9.0 |
| Cygnal | May 5–6 | 1,500 LV | ±2.5 | 48.5% | 42.4% | D+6.1 |
| HarrisX | April 29–May 5 | 1,891 LV | ±2.3 | 48% | 46% | D+2.0 |
| Focaldata for Financial Times | May 1–5 | 3,017 RV | ±1.8 | 51.9% | 44.5% | D+7.4 |
| YouGov for The Economist | May 1–4 | 1,406 RV | ±2.6 | 44% | 41% | D+3.0 |
| CNN/SSRS | April 30–May 4 | RV | — | 45% | 42% | D+3.0 |
| Morning Consult | April 27–May 3 | 24,000 RV | ±0.6 | 46% | 43% | D+3.0 |
| Morning Consult | April 30–May 3 | 2,200 RV | ±2.1 | 46% | 43% | D+3.0 |
| Marist University | April 27–30 | 1,155 RV | ±2.9 | 52% | 42% | D+10.0 |
| Ipsos for The Washington Post and ABC News | April 24–28 | 2,059 RV | ±2.2 | 49% | 44% | D+5.0 |
| Big Data Poll | April 25–28 | 2,874 LV | ±1.8 | 50.4% | 39.4% | D+11.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | April 24–27 | 1,645 RV | ±2.4 | 46% | 41% | D+5.0 |
| Public Opinion Strategies for CoinDesk | April 21–27 | 1,000 RV | ±3.1 | 44% | 41% | D+3.0 |
| Morning Consult | April 24–27 | 2,201 RV | ±2.1 | 45% | 42% | D+3.0 |
| Ipsos for Reuters | April 24–27 | 1,014 RV | ±3.1 | 41% | 37% | D+4.0 |
| Morning Consult | April 20–26 | 28,235 RV | ±0.6 | 45% | 42% | D+3.0 |
| HarrisX/Harris for Harvard CAPS | April 23–26 | LV | — | 50% | 50% | Even |
| Emerson College | April 24–26 | 1,000 LV | ±3.1 | 50.3% | 40.2% | D+10.1 |
| Clarity Campaign Labs | April 15–24 | 1,000 LV | ±3.1 | 50% | 45% | D+5.0 |
| The Argument/Verasight | April 20–23 | 1,000 LV | ±3.1 | 53% | 47% | D+6.0 |
| Quantus Insights | April 21–23 | 1,452 LV | ±2.6 | 47% | 42% | D+5.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | April 17–20 | 1,549 RV | ±2.5 | 45% | 40% | D+5.0 |
| Morning Consult | April 17–20 | 2,203 RV | ±2.1 | 45% | 42% | D+3.0 |
| Leger for 338Canada and Maintenant Media | April 17–20 | 1,004 A | ±3.1 | 52% | 42% | D+10.0 |
| Ipsos for Reuters | April 15–20 | 3,577 RV | ±1.6 | 41% | 38% | D+3.0 |
| Echelon Insights | April 17–20 | 1,012 LV | ±3.1 | 50% | 44% | D+6.0 |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research for Fox News | April 17–20 | 1,001 RV | ±3.1 | 52% | 47% | D+5.0 |
| Morning Consult | April 13–19 | 27,869 RV | ±0.6 | 45% | 42% | D+3.0 |
| KFF | April 14–19 | 1,107 RV | ±2.9 | 43% | 34% | D+9.0 |
| Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies for CNBC | April 15–19 | 1,000 RV | ±3.1 | 49% | 45% | D+4.0 |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 17–18 | 1,001 LV | ±3.1 | 48% | 44% | D+4.0 |
| Marquette University Law School | April 8–16 | 576 LV | ±4.1 | 53% | 43% | D+10.0 |
| McLaughlin & Associates | April 8–15 | 1,000 LV | ±3.1 | 47% | 43% | D+4.0 |
| GBAO Strategies for Third Way | April 8–15 | 2,000 RV | ±2.2 | 48% | 40% | D+8.0 |
| Verasight for Strength In Numbers | April 10–14 | 1,386 RV | ±2.6 | 50% | 43% | D+7.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | April 10–13 | 1,571 RV | ±2.5 | 45% | 40% | D+5.0 |
| Survey 160 | April 8–13 | 1,539 RV | ±2.5 | 47% | 37% | D+10.0 |
| Morning Consult | April 6–12 | 12,505 RV | ±0.9 | 46% | 42% | D+4.0 |
| Tavern Research | April 6–9 | 502 LV | ±4.4 | 44% | 43% | D+1.0 |
| RMG Research for Napolitan Institute | April 6–9 | 2,000 RV | ±2.2 | 49% | 44% | D+5.0 |
| Morning Consult | April 6–9 | 2,200 RV | ±2.1 | 46% | 42% | D+4.0 |
| Echelon Insights for NetChoice | April 3–9 | 2,880 LV | ±1.8 | 50% | 45% | D+5.0 |
| Change Research | April 3–7 | 2,702 RV | ±1.9 | 47% | 42% | D+5.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | April 3–6 | 1,558 RV | ±2.5 | 44% | 42% | D+2.0 |
| Morning Consult | April 3–6 | 2,200 RV | ±2.1 | 45% | 42% | D+3.0 |
| Morning Consult | March 30–April 5 | 12,505 RV | ±0.9 | 45% | 42% | D+3.0 |
| Cygnal | April 2–3 | 1,500 LV | ±2.5 | 49% | 43% | D+6.0 |
| YouGov for The Economist | March 27–30 | 1,502 RV | ±2.5 | 45% | 39% | D+6.0 |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov | March 26–30 | 1,000 A | ±3.1 | 38% | 35% | D+3.0 |
Showing the latest 150 of 465 polls.
How pollsters lean
Each firm’s average gap from the COYNTOSS margin on the days its polls ended, final year of the cycle, for the 14 firms with the most polls (at least 3). D+ means more Democratic than the average. Shown for context: the average does not adjust for it.
| Pollster | Polls | Gap | Margin vs. average |
|---|---|---|---|
| RMG Research | 7 | R+2.9 | |
| McLaughlin & Associates | 7 | R+2.4 | |
| Morning Consult | 52 | R+1.9 | |
| Ipsos | 23 | R+1.6 | |
| YouGov | 52 | R+0.5 | |
| Cygnal | 11 | R+0.1 | |
| Echelon Insights | 12 | D+0.1 | |
| Quantus Insights | 11 | D+0.1 | |
| Focaldata | 6 | D+0.8 | |
| Big Data Poll | 9 | D+1.8 | |
| The Argument/Verasight | 8 | D+2.0 | |
| Verasight | 6 | D+2.3 | |
| Emerson College | 10 | D+3.0 | |
| Quinnipiac University | 6 | D+3.5 |