Ocasio-CortezAOC41.243.7Vance
Donald Trump’s approval rating
COYNTOSS average of national polls. Updated Nov. 7, 2026.
−22.0net
approval
approval
37.8% approve59.8% disapprove
+5.1 in 30 days · 53 polls in the average · Full approval tracker →
30%35%40%45%50%55%60%65%70%Sept. 2026Oct.Nov.59.8%37.8%
30%35%40%45%50%55%60%65%70%June 2026JulyAug.Sept.Oct.Nov.59.8%37.8%
30%35%40%45%50%55%60%65%70%Jan. 2026MarchMayJulySept.Nov.59.8%37.8%
30%35%40%45%50%55%60%65%70%AprilJulyOct.Jan. 2026AprilJulyOct.59.8%37.8%
Now−22.0Nov. 7, 2026
1 month ago−27.1Oct. 8, 2026
3 months ago−21.0Aug. 8, 2026
6 months ago−17.6May 9, 2026
Month into Iran war−15.0March 28, 2026
Iran war began−11.8Feb. 28, 2026
1 year ago−10.1Nov. 7, 2025
100 days in−7.7April 30, 2025
Polls and averages
COYNTOSS averages of national polls; prediction-market odds are Kalshi traders’ prices, not a COYNTOSS forecast · Updated Nov. 7, 2026
Trump approval−22.037.8 approve, 59.8 disapprove+5.1 in 30 daysDemocratic primaryPrediction market favoriteOssoff24%Poll leaderHarris 27.3% in pollsRepublican primaryPrediction market favoriteVance34%Poll leaderVance 38.3% in pollsMost-polled 2028 matchups
- Vance v. NewsomD+3.59 polls
- Vance v. Ocasio-CortezR+2.59 polls
- Vance v. HarrisD+4.95 polls
Latest polls
Every national poll in our averages, newest first. Spread is the gap between the top two answers.
| Race or topic | Poll | Results | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thursday, Nov. 5 | |||
| 2028: Vance vs. Ocasio-Cortez | McLaughlin & Associates | Vance49Ocasio-Cortez39 | Vance +10 |
| 2028: Rubio vs. Ocasio-Cortez | McLaughlin & Associates | Rubio48Ocasio-Cortez38 | Rubio +10 |
| Monday, Nov. 2 | |||
| 2026 generic ballot | Ipsos for Reuters | Democrats52Republicans44 | Dem. +8 |
| Trump approval | Reuters/Ipsos | Approve36Disapprove63 | Disapprove +27 |
| Trump approval | John Zogby Strategies | Approve43Disapprove55 | Disapprove +12 |
| Sunday, Nov. 1 | |||
| Trump approval | Financial Times/Focaldata | Approve35Disapprove61 | Disapprove +26 |
| Friday, Oct. 30 | |||
| Trump approval | YouGov | Approve38Disapprove60 | Disapprove +22 |
| Trump approval | NBC News/Hart Research Associates & Public Opinion Strategies | Approve40Disapprove60 | Disapprove +20 |
| Trump approval | I&I/TIPP Insights | Approve41Disapprove51 | Disapprove +10 |
| Trump approval | Big Data Poll | Approve40Disapprove58 | Disapprove +18 |
| Tuesday, Oct. 27 | |||
| Trump approval | Tuft Public Opinion Lab/YouGov | Approve36Disapprove61 | Disapprove +25 |
| Trump approval | Napolitan News Service/RMG Research | Approve43Disapprove55 | Disapprove +12 |
| Monday, Oct. 26 | |||
| Trump approval | The Economist/YouGov | Approve41Disapprove58 | Disapprove +17 |
| Trump approval | Reuters/Ipsos | Approve32Disapprove66 | Disapprove +34 |
| Trump approval | Harvard/Harris | Approve39Disapprove59 | Disapprove +20 |
| Trump approval | Emerson College | Approve37Disapprove57 | Disapprove +20 |
| Friday, Oct. 23 | |||
| Trump approval | The Argument/Verasight | Approve45Disapprove55 | Disapprove +10 |
| Thursday, Oct. 22 | |||
| Trump approval | Wall Street Journal/Impact Research and National Research Inc. | Approve40Disapprove59 | Disapprove +19 |
The 2028 race
Poll averages from COYNTOSS; Kalshi columns are traders’ prices as of Nov. 7, 2026, not a COYNTOSS forecast.
Democrats
Polling leaderKamala Harris27.3% · 13 polls
Betting favoriteJon Ossoff24% on Kalshi
| Candidate | Bar | Polls | 30-day | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamala Harris | 27.3% | +0.2 | 6% | |
 Gavin Newsom | 15.9% | 0.0 | 12% | |
 Pete Buttigieg | 10.8% | −0.3 | 5% | |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 8.2% | −0.7 | 14% | |
 Josh Shapiro | 5.7% | +0.1 | 4% | |
 Mark Kelly | 5.2% | −0.1 | 4% | |
| Jon Ossoff | 5.2% | +0.1 | 24% | |
 Cory Booker | 3.7% | 0.0 | 1% |
Republicans
Polling leaderJD Vance38.3% · 15 polls
Betting favoriteJD Vance34% on Kalshi
| Candidate | Bar | Polls | 30-day | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JD Vance | 38.3% | +0.1 | 34% | |
 Marco Rubio | 17.3% | −0.3 | 20% | |
 Donald Trump Jr. | 13.5% | +0.6 | — | |
 Ron DeSantis | 7.6% | 0.0 | 18% | |
 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 5.6% | +0.1 | <1% | |
 Nikki Haley | 4.6% | +0.1 | 1% | |
 Ted Cruz | 3.5% | +0.1 | 2% | |
 Greg Abbott | 2.6% | +0.2 | <1% |
If the election were held today
Ocasio-CortezAOC41.2Newsom43.540.0Vance
Harris48.243.3Vance
Ocasio-CortezAOC40.345.6Rubio
Newsom43.742.8Rubio
Harris44.045.2Rubio
Buttigieg41.338.4Vance
Ossoff49.044.0Vance
Ossoff47.044.0Rubio
Generic ballot
Final 2026 average, Election Day (Nov. 3)
Democrats49.6%
Republicans41.7%
MarginD+7.9
35%40%45%50%55%AprilJulyOct.Jan. 2026AprilJulyOct.49.6%41.7%
2026 results
Race calls from news organizations; preliminary until states certify
SenateDemocrats win control
54 Dem.2 uncalled · 51 for majority44 Rep.
NBC News/AP, Nov. 5
HouseDemocrats win control
247 Dem.31 uncalled · 218 for majority157 Rep.
NBC News/AP, Nov. 5
Governors33 of 36 races called
Full tally once every race is called
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