2026 midterm elections
Polls
Every survey behind the COYNTOSS Senate, governor and House forecasts, newest first, with how the model treats each one.
Updated November 3, 2026 · 954 Senate and governor poll records · 323 House poll records
Polling volume
Polls by week
Surveys counted by the week fieldwork ended, over the last six months.
Polling by state
Where the polls are
Polls in the archive for each state's 2026 Senate races. Darker states have more polls.
| State | Polls |
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The archive
Latest polls
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| Field dates | Race and pollster | Result | Margin | In the model |
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The archive lists polls with a field date and reported shares for both major-party candidates. Margins are the leader’s lead in points. Weights show each poll’s pull on the polling average.
2026 Senate
Polls, fundamentals and the model
Margins in points, closest races first. The band is the middle 80% of simulated outcomes.
| State | Polls | Fundamentals | Model | R+40EvenD+40 |
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Source: COYNTOSS Senate model. Values are percentage-point margins, not win probabilities.