COYNTOSSby @achasecoyne

2026 HOUSE FORECAST · BETA

Democrats are heavily favored to win House control.

Explore all 435 voting districts using the current COYNTOSS House model. District lines follow the active 2026 election-cycle geometry record.

All 435 district estimates and the House control simulation refreshed September 23, 2026 · model inputs through September 22, 2026 · polls through September 17, 2026

—Democratic chance
—Republican chance
— expected Democratic seats

Current district estimates

Model version
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U.S. House / National
Interactive 2026 U.S. House forecast map A district-level map of the 435 voting seats in the U.S. House. Select a district for candidate, margin, rating, percent chance, and polling details.
Solid DLikely DLean DToss-upLean RLikely RSolid R

Geometry and forecast data loading…

RACES TO WATCH

Closest districts

Every district from D+15 through R+15, ordered by absolute projected margin.

Closest House districts by projected margin
DistrictCandidatesMarginRatingOpen

MODEL STATUS

A beta district forecast

The House map displays the workbook's district forecasts, candidate fields, polling aggregates, and supplied probabilities. It does not infer vote shares from margins or alter the model's assumptions. Boundary and record-review notices remain separate.

House methodology notes