Democrats are heavily favored to win House control.
Explore all 435 voting districts using the current COYNTOSS House model. District lines follow the active 2026 election-cycle geometry record.
Site release updated September 29, 2026 · House estimates and the frozen House simulation remain on the September 24, 2026 model · polls through September 20, 2026
—Democratic chance
—Republican chance
— expected Democratic seats
Current district estimates
Model version v2.1-current-lines-polling
U.S. House / National
Solid DLikely DLean DToss-upLean RLikely RSolid R
Geometry and forecast data loading…
RACES TO WATCH
Closest districts
Every district from D+15 through R+15, ordered by absolute projected margin.
Closest House districts by projected margin
District
Candidates
Margin
Rating
Open
MODEL STATUS
A beta district forecast
The House map displays the model's district forecasts, candidate fields, polling aggregates, and supplied probabilities. It does not infer vote shares from margins or alter the model's assumptions. Boundary and record-review notices remain separate.